Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.5%
Sampdoria
16.5%
Draw
76.0%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Sampdoria
vs
2.18
Roma
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.1%
0-1
14.9%
0-3
11.7%
1-2
8.3%
1-1
7.5%
0-0
6.6%
0-4
6.4%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.3%
0-5
2.8%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).