⚽ FootballData
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AHT: 01CSV

15 May 2016

Bochum

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Heidenheim
29.0%
Draw
25.4%
Bochum

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Heidenheim

vs
1.01

Bochum

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).