Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Fiorentina
25.5%
Draw
31.5%
Udinese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Fiorentina
vs
1.20
Udinese
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).