Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Numancia
30.1%
Draw
24.5%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Numancia
vs
0.78
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).