Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Alcorcon
31.2%
Draw
43.9%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Alcorcon
vs
1.11
Girona
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.511.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-0
15.4%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).