Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Estoril
19.2%
Draw
64.7%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Estoril
vs
2.44
Benfica
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
2-3
4.5%
0-4
4.0%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).