Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Atalanta
16.3%
Draw
7.9%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Atalanta
vs
0.56
Spezia
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
1-0
13.9%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-0
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).