Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Tottenham
32.8%
Draw
33.3%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Tottenham
vs
1.10
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.3%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).