Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
Troyes
19.6%
Draw
13.6%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Troyes
vs
0.69
Niort
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).