Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Avellino
29.9%
Draw
33.7%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Avellino
vs
1.20
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).