Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.7%
Hull
22.7%
Draw
69.6%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Hull
vs
1.77
Burnley
Markets
BTTS30.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.8%
0-2
17.3%
0-0
11.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
2.0%
2-1
1.8%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).