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AHT: 01CSV

29 Aug 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.0%
Reims
23.9%
Draw
57.1%
Paris SG

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Reims

vs
1.58

Paris SG

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).