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DHT: 00CSV

04 Jun 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.1%
Girona
26.2%
Draw
18.7%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Girona

vs
0.74

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS40.2%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).