Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Maidstone
25.4%
Draw
52.4%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Maidstone
vs
1.76
Sutton
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).