Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Sevilla
21.8%
Draw
25.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Sevilla
vs
1.36
Almeria
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
4.4%
0-1
4.3%
0-0
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).