Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
St Pauli
35.2%
Draw
35.8%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
St Pauli
vs
0.94
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS35.1%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.2%
0-1
15.2%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).