Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.8%
Niort
12.3%
Draw
79.9%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Niort
vs
2.70
Lorient
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.0%
0-3
10.9%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
7.7%
0-4
7.3%
1-1
5.8%
1-4
5.2%
0-5
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
1-0
2.8%
1-5
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).