Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Alaves
29.3%
Draw
38.8%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Alaves
vs
1.19
Betis
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).