Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Metz
20.7%
Draw
19.1%
Orleans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Metz
vs
0.91
Orleans
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).