Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.1%
Osasuna
24.8%
Draw
53.1%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Osasuna
vs
1.70
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).