Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Reading
30.0%
Draw
34.9%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Reading
vs
1.17
Luton
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).