Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Darmstadt
29.1%
Draw
30.5%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Darmstadt
vs
1.16
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).