Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Tranmere
24.9%
Draw
27.7%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Tranmere
vs
1.07
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).