Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Rio Ave
22.8%
Draw
31.5%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Rio Ave
vs
1.35
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).