Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.3%
Belenenses
28.0%
Draw
51.7%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Belenenses
vs
1.29
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.5%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).