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02 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.5%
Plymouth
19.8%
Draw
65.8%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Plymouth

vs
2.29

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS57.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-0
4.3%
1-4
4.3%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
2-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).