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05 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.3%
Rochdale
21.5%
Draw
62.1%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Rochdale

vs
1.72

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
7.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).