Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Sirius
24.3%
Draw
40.6%
Malmö FF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Sirius
vs
1.81
Malmö FF
Markets
BTTS69.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.546.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
0-1
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
0-0
4.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).