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12 Dec 2020 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.7%
Cosenza
31.7%
Draw
29.6%
Reggiana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Cosenza

vs
1.01

Reggiana

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).