Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Wigan
32.0%
Draw
42.5%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Wigan
vs
1.18
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).