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AHT: 11

01 Mar 2026 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Sociedad
24.4%
Draw
28.7%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Sociedad

vs
1.21

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).