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03 Oct 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.1%
Levante
17.0%
Draw
9.9%
Villarreal B

Expected Goals (xG)

2.27

Levante

vs
0.70

Villarreal B

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).