Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Burgos
33.9%
Draw
32.5%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Burgos
vs
0.84
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.581.7%
Over 1.550.2%
Over 2.524.0%
Over 3.59.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.3%
1-0
15.9%
0-1
15.6%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-0
1.9%
0-3
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).