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13 Sept 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.1%
Betis
22.3%
Draw
17.6%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Betis

vs
0.96

Leganes

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).