Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Valladolid
23.7%
Draw
20.9%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Valladolid
vs
0.95
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).