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14 Feb 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.6%
Magdeburg
27.4%
Draw
46.1%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Magdeburg

vs
1.57

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).