Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Akhmat Grozny
28.1%
Draw
50.6%
Krasnodar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Akhmat Grozny
vs
1.58
Krasnodar
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).