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04 Oct 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Sabadell
29.6%
Draw
38.9%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Sabadell

vs
1.12

Espanol

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).