Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Colchester
32.9%
Draw
34.0%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Colchester
vs
0.86
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.524.2%
Over 3.59.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.7%
0-1
16.3%
1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
0-3
1.9%
3-0
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).