Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Ashton United
31.5%
Draw
35.3%
Runcorn Linnets
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Ashton United
vs
0.94
Runcorn Linnets
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.554.6%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.4%
0-1
15.3%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).