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08 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.6%
Hamilton
27.1%
Draw
21.3%
Cove Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Hamilton

vs
1.07

Cove Rangers

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.6%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).