Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Lille
24.3%
Draw
36.7%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Lille
vs
1.34
Lyon
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).