Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Ath Bilbao
26.6%
Draw
31.2%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.22
Betis
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).