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DHT: 11CSV

07 May 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.9%
Portsmouth
24.6%
Draw
23.5%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Portsmouth

vs
0.87

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).