Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.2%
Spal
30.5%
Draw
49.3%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Spal
vs
1.36
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.0%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).