Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Werder Bremen
30.6%
Draw
34.9%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Werder Bremen
vs
1.14
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).