Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
West Brom
26.3%
Draw
24.0%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
West Brom
vs
1.09
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).