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30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.4%
FC Koln
13.9%
Draw
75.7%
Kettering Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

FC Koln

vs
2.81

Kettering Town

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.552.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
1-1
6.0%
0-4
5.9%
1-4
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
0-5
3.3%
1-5
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).