Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Gil Vicente
23.7%
Draw
16.9%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Gil Vicente
vs
0.72
Aves
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).