Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.3%
Sassuolo
16.3%
Draw
14.4%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Sassuolo
vs
1.13
Crotone
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.551.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.0%
1-1
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
4-0
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
4-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).